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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

F9 1415 · Frontier Airlines

Tampa → Chicago (TPAORD)

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WanderNerd Reliability Score
44%
Arrive within 15 minutes
77 min
Average arrival delay
7.4%
Cancelled
24 min
Median arrival delay

Based on 68 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The late departure is the smart one here.

F9 1415 departing between 9 PM–12 AM arrived on time 52% of the time, versus 21% between 3–6 PM.

Saturdays have been rough.

F9 1415 arrived on time 60% of the time on Thursdays and just 24% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Well behind the TPA–ORD route.

F9 1415 arrived on time 44% of the time, versus 73% across the TPA–ORD route.

Well behind the Frontier Airlines network.

F9 1415 arrived on time 44% of the time, versus 73% across the Frontier Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon(7 flights)
  • Tue(1 flights)
  • Wed(0 flights)
  • Thu60%(15 flights)
  • Fri54%(13 flights)
  • Sat24%(17 flights)
  • Sun(8 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM(7 flights)
  • 12–3 PM(2 flights)
  • 3–6 PM21%(14 flights)
  • 6–9 PM47%(15 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM52%(23 flights)
Departures on time
49%
Diverted
2.9%
Flights flown
61
Months covered
10

Based on 68 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.