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Route Reliability

Tampa → Chicago

TPA–ORD · 1,012 miles · Tampa International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport

68
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
73%
Arrive within 15 minutes
17 min
Average arrival delay
1.5%
Cancelled
3,257
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines76%1,401 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines73%1,144 flights
  3. 3.Southwest Airlines69%211 flights
  4. 4.Spirit Airlines68%311 flights
  5. 5.Frontier Airlines60%190 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

TPA–ORD flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 90% of the time, versus 51% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

TPA–ORD flights arrived on time 79% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 65%.

United Airlines has a clear lead on this route.

United Airlines arrived on time 76% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 60%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon70%(476 flights)
  • Tue79%(407 flights)
  • Wed78%(403 flights)
  • Thu74%(482 flights)
  • Fri70%(472 flights)
  • Sat75%(460 flights)
  • Sun65%(486 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM90%(10 flights)
  • 6–9 AM88%(816 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM79%(373 flights)
  • 12–3 PM78%(952 flights)
  • 3–6 PM54%(541 flights)
  • 6–9 PM53%(453 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM51%(41 flights)
On-time trend by month
72%
May

Jun 65% → May 72% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202565%253
July 202565%224
August 202578%219
September 202590%204
October 202583%236
November 202575%271
December 202571%328
January 202669%288
February 202673%285
March 202664%323
April 202676%308
May 202672%247

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 3,257 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.