Skip to content
WanderNerd
Check a flight

Route Reliability

Tampa → Chicago

TPA–MDW · 997 miles · Tampa International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

73
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
76%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
2.0%
Cancelled
1,630
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Airlines on this route

  • Southwest Airlines76% on time · 1,568 flights
  • Frontier Airlines75% on time · 62 flights

Too little history on this route to call a winner. We rank airlines only after 100 flights each.

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

TPA–MDW flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 90% of the time, versus 56% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

TPA–MDW flights arrived on time 81% of the time on Wednesdays. On Sundays: 70%.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon72%(233 flights)
  • Tue79%(207 flights)
  • Wed81%(211 flights)
  • Thu76%(224 flights)
  • Fri80%(228 flights)
  • Sat78%(232 flights)
  • Sun70%(249 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM—(9 flights)
  • 6–9 AM90%(408 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM85%(336 flights)
  • 12–3 PM82%(158 flights)
  • 3–6 PM70%(294 flights)
  • 6–9 PM56%(267 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM59%(112 flights)
On-time trend by month
71%
May

Jun 75% → May 71% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202575%155
July 202573%160
August 202574%128
September 202587%111
October 202577%123
November 202585%117
December 202570%134
January 202687%126
February 202668%114
March 202673%167
April 202682%127
May 202671%122

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 1,630 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.