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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Chicago → Tampa

MDWTPA · 997 miles · Chicago Midway International Airport to Tampa International Airport

78
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
77%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min
Average arrival delay
1.5%
Cancelled
1,631
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Airlines on this route

  • Southwest Airlines77% on time · 1,568 flights
  • Frontier Airlines85% on time · 63 flights

Too little history on this route to call a winner. We rank airlines only after 100 flights each.

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

MDW–TPA flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 96% of the time, versus 34% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

MDW–TPA flights arrived on time 84% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 70%.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon74%(227 flights)
  • Tue84%(215 flights)
  • Wed82%(212 flights)
  • Thu78%(226 flights)
  • Fri78%(232 flights)
  • Sat78%(235 flights)
  • Sun70%(253 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM96%(146 flights)
  • 6–9 AM90%(343 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(244 flights)
  • 12–3 PM81%(328 flights)
  • 3–6 PM66%(196 flights)
  • 6–9 PM63%(269 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM34%(74 flights)
On-time trend by month
81%
May

Jun 68% → May 81% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202568%152
July 202562%159
August 202580%124
September 202588%111
October 202584%122
November 202584%126
December 202571%135
January 202680%128
February 202689%114
March 202671%176
April 202682%129
May 202681%124

Based on 1,631 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.