Route Reliability
Chicago → Tampa
MDW–TPA · 997 miles · Chicago Midway International Airport to Tampa International Airport
78
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 77%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 8 min
- Average arrival delay
- 1.5%
- Cancelled
- 1,631
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Airlines on this route
- Southwest Airlines77% on time · 1,568 flights
- Frontier Airlines85% on time · 63 flights
Too little history on this route to call a winner. We rank airlines only after 100 flights each.
What the data says
Morning flights do better here.
MDW–TPA flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 96% of the time, versus 34% between 9 PM–12 AM.
Sunday scaries are real for this one.
MDW–TPA flights arrived on time 84% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 70%.
Flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon74%(227 flights)
- Tue84%(215 flights)
- Wed82%(212 flights)
- Thu78%(226 flights)
- Fri78%(232 flights)
- Sat78%(235 flights)
- Sun70%(253 flights)
- 3–6 AM96%(146 flights)
- 6–9 AM90%(343 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM84%(244 flights)
- 12–3 PM81%(328 flights)
- 3–6 PM66%(196 flights)
- 6–9 PM63%(269 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM34%(74 flights)
81%
May
Jun 68% → May 81% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 68% | 152 |
| July 2025 | 62% | 159 |
| August 2025 | 80% | 124 |
| September 2025 | 88% | 111 |
| October 2025 | 84% | 122 |
| November 2025 | 84% | 126 |
| December 2025 | 71% | 135 |
| January 2026 | 80% | 128 |
| February 2026 | 89% | 114 |
| March 2026 | 71% | 176 |
| April 2026 | 82% | 129 |
| May 2026 | 81% | 124 |
Same trip, other airports
Keep nerding
Based on 1,631 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.