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Route Reliability

Chicago → Tampa

ORD–TPA · 1,012 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Tampa International Airport

74
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
74%
Arrive within 15 minutes
14 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
3,259
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines80%1,401 flights
  2. 2.Spirit Airlines73%313 flights
  3. 3.Southwest Airlines72%211 flights
  4. 4.American Airlines70%1,145 flights
  5. 5.Frontier Airlines64%189 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

ORD–TPA flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 100% of the time, versus 65% between 12–3 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

ORD–TPA flights arrived on time 83% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 68%.

United Airlines has a clear lead on this route.

United Airlines arrived on time 80% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 64%.

Slipping a little lately.

ORD–TPA flights arrived on time 70% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 73% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon73%(477 flights)
  • Tue83%(410 flights)
  • Wed77%(409 flights)
  • Thu82%(486 flights)
  • Fri69%(473 flights)
  • Sat71%(468 flights)
  • Sun68%(481 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM—(1 flights)
  • 3–6 AM100%(12 flights)
  • 6–9 AM84%(717 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM80%(821 flights)
  • 12–3 PM65%(602 flights)
  • 3–6 PM72%(536 flights)
  • 6–9 PM66%(510 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM—(5 flights)
On-time trend by month
73%
May

Jun 79% → May 73% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202579%249
July 202571%228
August 202577%221
September 202582%205
October 202580%236
November 202581%269
December 202565%331
January 202676%293
February 202679%284
March 202663%328
April 202673%313
May 202673%247

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 3,259 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.