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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

F9 1416 · Frontier Airlines

Chicago → Tampa (ORDTPA)

42
Bring Snacks
WanderNerd Reliability Score
65%
Arrive within 15 minutes
27 min
Average arrival delay
5.0%
Cancelled
2 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 140 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

F9 1416 departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 54% between 3–6 PM.

Mondays have been rough.

F9 1416 arrived on time 82% of the time on Thursdays and just 39% on Mondays. That gap is worth planning around.

Lagging the ORD–TPA route.

F9 1416 arrived on time 65% of the time, versus 74% across the ORD–TPA route.

Lagging the Frontier Airlines network.

F9 1416 arrived on time 65% of the time, versus 73% across the Frontier Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon39%(18 flights)
  • Tue(7 flights)
  • Wed(3 flights)
  • Thu82%(33 flights)
  • Fri44%(23 flights)
  • Sat64%(25 flights)
  • Sun70%(23 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM(6 flights)
  • 6–9 AM75%(32 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM(9 flights)
  • 12–3 PM67%(24 flights)
  • 3–6 PM54%(57 flights)
  • 6–9 PM(4 flights)
On-time trend by month
72%
Mar

Jun 29% → Mar 72% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202529%14
July 202544%16
August 202565%17
October 202583%12
November 202567%12
December 202562%13
January 202675%12
March 202672%18
Departures on time
71%
Diverted
0.7%
Flights flown
132
Months covered
11

Based on 140 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.