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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Buffalo → Tampa

BUFTPA · 1,053 miles · Buffalo Niagara International Airport to Tampa International Airport

82
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
78%
Arrive within 15 minutes
9 min
Average arrival delay
0.5%
Cancelled
783
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines80%635 flights
  2. 2.Frontier Airlines70%148 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

BUF–TPA flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 94% of the time, versus 64% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

BUF–TPA flights arrived on time 87% of the time on Wednesdays and just 70% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Southwest Airlines runs this route best.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 80% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 70%.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon79%(111 flights)
  • Tue85%(93 flights)
  • Wed87%(90 flights)
  • Thu71%(124 flights)
  • Fri86%(112 flights)
  • Sat72%(126 flights)
  • Sun70%(120 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM90%(38 flights)
  • 6–9 AM94%(237 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM81%(37 flights)
  • 12–3 PM83%(80 flights)
  • 3–6 PM67%(185 flights)
  • 6–9 PM64%(198 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
74%
May

Jun 56% → May 74% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202556%59
July 202562%55
August 202576%75
September 202594%64
October 202587%62
November 202583%59
December 202572%54
January 202684%64
February 202683%71
March 202669%75
April 202689%72
May 202674%66

Based on 783 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.