Skip to content
WanderNerd
Check a flight

Route Reliability

Tampa → Buffalo

TPA–BUF · 1,053 miles · Tampa International Airport to Buffalo Niagara International Airport

84
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
82%
Arrive within 15 minutes
7 min
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
783
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines82%635 flights
  2. 2.Frontier Airlines79%148 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

TPA–BUF flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 98% of the time, versus 58% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Wednesday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 85% on time on Wednesdays against 79% on Tuesdays.

Southwest Airlines has a slight edge here.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 82% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 79%.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon82%(112 flights)
  • Tue79%(91 flights)
  • Wed85%(89 flights)
  • Thu81%(123 flights)
  • Fri82%(113 flights)
  • Sat81%(126 flights)
  • Sun80%(117 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM92%(52 flights)
  • 6–9 AM98%(228 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM88%(124 flights)
  • 12–3 PM73%(99 flights)
  • 3–6 PM71%(129 flights)
  • 6–9 PM61%(120 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM58%(19 flights)
On-time trend by month
77%
May

Jun 83% → May 77% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202583%59
July 202567%55
August 202589%75
September 202595%65
October 202584%61
November 202583%59
December 202578%54
January 202684%62
February 202675%68
March 202676%75
April 202684%73
May 202677%65

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 783 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.