Skip to content
WanderNerd
Check a flight

Route Reliability

Washington → Madison

DCA–MSN · 707 miles · Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport to Dane County Regional Airport

59
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
73%
Arrive within 15 minutes
16 min
Average arrival delay
4.6%
Cancelled
1,172
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines79%303 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines70%869 flights

What the data says

The 3–6 PM departure wins.

DCA–MSN flights departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 79% of the time, versus 60% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Saturday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 76% on time on Saturdays against 69% on Wednesdays.

Delta Air Lines runs this route best.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 79% of the time on this route; American Airlines managed 70%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 4.6% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon76%(172 flights)
  • Tue73%(180 flights)
  • Wed69%(176 flights)
  • Thu74%(172 flights)
  • Fri69%(174 flights)
  • Sat76%(70 flights)
  • Sun74%(172 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM78%(120 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM78%(147 flights)
  • 12–3 PM70%(254 flights)
  • 3–6 PM79%(298 flights)
  • 6–9 PM65%(255 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM60%(42 flights)
On-time trend by month
72%
May

Jun 64% → May 72% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202564%85
July 202580%75
August 202581%86
September 202579%81
October 202586%107
November 202576%97
December 202566%79
January 202669%86
February 202662%98
March 202660%105
April 202676%109
May 202672%108

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 1,172 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.