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Route Reliability

Madison → Washington

MSN–DCA · 707 miles · Dane County Regional Airport to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport

64
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
76%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
4.0%
Cancelled
1,172
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.American Airlines77%869 flights
  2. 2.Delta Air Lines72%303 flights

What the data says

The 3–6 AM departure wins.

MSN–DCA flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 90% of the time, versus 68% between 9 AM–12 PM.

Wednesdays have been rough.

MSN–DCA flights arrived on time 89% of the time on Saturdays and just 70% on Wednesdays. That gap is worth planning around.

American Airlines has a slight edge here.

American Airlines arrived on time 77% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 72%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 4.0% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon76%(169 flights)
  • Tue74%(177 flights)
  • Wed70%(174 flights)
  • Thu78%(174 flights)
  • Fri72%(173 flights)
  • Sat89%(73 flights)
  • Sun79%(174 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM90%(10 flights)
  • 6–9 AM89%(318 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM68%(169 flights)
  • 12–3 PM76%(123 flights)
  • 3–6 PM69%(493 flights)
  • 6–9 PM—(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
79%
May

Jun 76% → May 79% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202576%87
July 202582%73
August 202576%87
September 202588%82
October 202581%107
November 202569%96
December 202566%79
January 202675%85
February 202670%101
March 202669%104
April 202678%108
May 202679%105

Keep nerding

Based on 1,172 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.