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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Denver → Minneapolis

DENMSP · 680 miles · Denver International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

83
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
78%
Arrive within 15 minutes
7 min
Average arrival delay
0.7%
Cancelled
5,835
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines82%1,805 flights
  2. 2.United Airlines82%1,679 flights
  3. 3.Southwest Airlines74%1,744 flights
  4. 4.Frontier Airlines71%607 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

DEN–MSP flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 60% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Wednesday comes out ahead.

A small edge: 80% on time on Wednesdays against 76% on Fridays.

Delta Air Lines runs this route best.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 82% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 71%.

Ticking up lately.

DEN–MSP flights arrived on time 83% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 79% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon78%(878 flights)
  • Tue80%(796 flights)
  • Wed80%(806 flights)
  • Thu77%(873 flights)
  • Fri76%(866 flights)
  • Sat80%(697 flights)
  • Sun78%(873 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM(1 flights)
  • 3–6 AM86%(42 flights)
  • 6–9 AM92%(968 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(1137 flights)
  • 12–3 PM81%(1117 flights)
  • 3–6 PM72%(1169 flights)
  • 6–9 PM69%(1123 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM60%(232 flights)
On-time trend by month
78%
May

Jun 71% → May 78% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202571%532
July 202565%560
August 202573%549
September 202578%525
October 202585%528
November 202586%457
December 202570%436
January 202681%407
February 202688%376
March 202682%447
April 202689%440
May 202678%532

Based on 5,835 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.