Route Reliability
Minneapolis → Denver
MSP–DEN · 680 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Denver International Airport
- 78%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 8 min
- Average arrival delay
- 0.8%
- Cancelled
- 5,835
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.Frontier Airlines82%608 flights
- 2.United Airlines80%1,681 flights
- 3.Southwest Airlines77%1,742 flights
- 4.Delta Air Lines76%1,804 flights
What the data says
Morning flights do better here.
MSP–DEN flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 94% of the time, versus 61% between 6–9 PM.
Saturday comes out ahead.
A small edge: 82% on time on Saturdays against 76% on Thursdays.
Frontier Airlines has a slight edge here.
Frontier Airlines arrived on time 82% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 76%.
Trending in the right direction.
MSP–DEN flights arrived on time 84% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 74% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon79%(871 flights)
- Tue77%(793 flights)
- Wed79%(804 flights)
- Thu76%(870 flights)
- Fri77%(877 flights)
- Sat82%(696 flights)
- Sun77%(861 flights)
- 3–6 AM94%(386 flights)
- 6–9 AM86%(1106 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM84%(1205 flights)
- 12–3 PM82%(1253 flights)
- 3–6 PM62%(680 flights)
- 6–9 PM61%(836 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM72%(306 flights)
Jun 71% → May 83% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 71% | 526 |
| July 2025 | 69% | 559 |
| August 2025 | 77% | 545 |
| September 2025 | 83% | 525 |
| October 2025 | 81% | 526 |
| November 2025 | 84% | 457 |
| December 2025 | 62% | 434 |
| January 2026 | 80% | 404 |
| February 2026 | 81% | 378 |
| March 2026 | 79% | 448 |
| April 2026 | 89% | 438 |
| May 2026 | 83% | 532 |
Keep nerding
Based on 5,835 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.