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Route Reliability

Orlando → Chicago

MCO–MDW · 990 miles · Orlando International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

68
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
72%
Arrive within 15 minutes
13 min
Average arrival delay
1.9%
Cancelled
2,796
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Frontier Airlines75%254 flights
  2. 2.Southwest Airlines72%2,542 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

MCO–MDW flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 54% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

MCO–MDW flights arrived on time 83% of the time on Wednesdays and just 63% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Not much between Frontier Airlines and Southwest Airlines.

On this route they all land within 72% to 75% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon69%(402 flights)
  • Tue76%(353 flights)
  • Wed83%(355 flights)
  • Thu72%(391 flights)
  • Fri74%(405 flights)
  • Sat68%(406 flights)
  • Sun63%(413 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM—(9 flights)
  • 6–9 AM92%(529 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM80%(511 flights)
  • 12–3 PM74%(371 flights)
  • 3–6 PM63%(604 flights)
  • 6–9 PM57%(528 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM54%(173 flights)
On-time trend by month
75%
May

Jun 74% → May 75% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202574%247
July 202571%247
August 202566%221
September 202582%215
October 202570%245
November 202580%222
December 202566%239
January 202674%208
February 202668%204
March 202665%266
April 202676%214
May 202675%197

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 2,796 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.