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Route Reliability

Chicago → Orlando

MDW–MCO · 990 miles · Chicago Midway International Airport to Orlando International Airport

77
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
77%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
2,789
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Frontier Airlines79%255 flights
  2. 2.Southwest Airlines77%2,534 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

MDW–MCO flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 93% of the time, versus 64% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

MDW–MCO flights arrived on time 85% of the time on Tuesdays and just 70% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Not much between Frontier Airlines and Southwest Airlines.

On this route they all land within 77% to 79% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon78%(412 flights)
  • Tue85%(352 flights)
  • Wed83%(350 flights)
  • Thu79%(393 flights)
  • Fri74%(412 flights)
  • Sat75%(405 flights)
  • Sun70%(409 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM93%(279 flights)
  • 6–9 AM85%(580 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM82%(558 flights)
  • 12–3 PM77%(333 flights)
  • 3–6 PM65%(546 flights)
  • 6–9 PM65%(364 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM64%(73 flights)
On-time trend by month
78%
May

Jun 71% → May 78% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202571%246
July 202572%250
August 202573%219
September 202588%212
October 202583%243
November 202585%219
December 202576%241
January 202679%211
February 202676%205
March 202670%273
April 202681%217
May 202678%197

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 2,789 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.