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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Washington

MSPDCA · 931 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport

67
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
3.0%
Cancelled
2,562
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines76%1,707 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines73%855 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

MSP–DCA flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 84% of the time, versus 63% between 3–6 PM.

Skip Thursday if you can.

MSP–DCA flights arrived on time 81% of the time on Tuesdays. On Thursdays: 67%.

Not much between Delta Air Lines and American Airlines.

On this route they all land within 73% to 76% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 3.0% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon79%(382 flights)
  • Tue81%(345 flights)
  • Wed72%(381 flights)
  • Thu67%(383 flights)
  • Fri72%(381 flights)
  • Sat79%(255 flights)
  • Sun74%(335 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM(6 flights)
  • 6–9 AM84%(546 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(455 flights)
  • 12–3 PM75%(556 flights)
  • 3–6 PM63%(290 flights)
  • 6–9 PM64%(609 flights)
On-time trend by month
85%
May

Jun 66% → May 85% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202566%184
July 202563%182
August 202573%199
September 202584%213
October 202581%222
November 202575%201
December 202567%209
January 202671%209
February 202675%195
March 202672%210
April 202681%219
May 202685%219

Based on 2,562 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.