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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Washington

MSPIAD · 907 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport

86
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
2 min
Average arrival delay
0.9%
Cancelled
1,252
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines86%365 flights
  2. 2.Delta Air Lines81%887 flights

What the data says

Mornings have a slight edge.

Departures between 6–9 AM arrived on time 86% of the time, against 81% between 6–9 PM.

Skip Monday if you can.

MSP–IAD flights arrived on time 84% of the time on Saturdays. On Mondays: 77%.

United Airlines has a slight edge here.

United Airlines arrived on time 86% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 81%.

Trending in the right direction.

MSP–IAD flights arrived on time 84% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 75% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon77%(184 flights)
  • Tue84%(184 flights)
  • Wed80%(183 flights)
  • Thu84%(182 flights)
  • Fri84%(184 flights)
  • Sat84%(141 flights)
  • Sun84%(180 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM86%(206 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM82%(157 flights)
  • 12–3 PM83%(517 flights)
  • 3–6 PM82%(17 flights)
  • 6–9 PM81%(341 flights)
On-time trend by month
85%
May

Jun 80% → May 85% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202580%114
July 202577%114
August 202581%113
September 202588%107
October 202596%116
November 202586%106
December 202568%107
January 202673%80
February 202686%77
March 202677%84
April 202690%103
May 202685%117

Based on 1,252 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.