Route Reliability
Minneapolis → Phoenix
MSP–PHX · 1,276 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport
- 80%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 7 min
- Average arrival delay
- 0.9%
- Cancelled
- 3,141
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.Southwest Airlines90%310 flights
- 2.American Airlines80%656 flights
- 3.Delta Air Lines79%2,101 flights
Not enough history to rank: Frontier Airlines (74 flights). We rank airlines only after 100 flights on the route.
What the data says
Morning-you made the right choice.
MSP–PHX flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 94% of the time, versus 72% between 6–9 PM.
Saturday has been the better bet.
A small edge: 82% on time on Saturdays against 77% on Sundays.
Southwest Airlines runs this route best.
Southwest Airlines arrived on time 90% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 79%.
Trending in the right direction.
MSP–PHX flights arrived on time 85% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 71% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon80%(447 flights)
- Tue82%(420 flights)
- Wed82%(432 flights)
- Thu80%(448 flights)
- Fri80%(454 flights)
- Sat82%(452 flights)
- Sun77%(453 flights)
- 3–6 AM94%(103 flights)
- 6–9 AM87%(718 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM82%(801 flights)
- 12–3 PM78%(680 flights)
- 3–6 PM81%(130 flights)
- 6–9 PM72%(424 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM73%(250 flights)
Jun 82% → May 84% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 82% | 266 |
| July 2025 | 80% | 273 |
| August 2025 | 85% | 250 |
| September 2025 | 88% | 226 |
| October 2025 | 84% | 267 |
| November 2025 | 78% | 247 |
| December 2025 | 65% | 265 |
| January 2026 | 72% | 241 |
| February 2026 | 77% | 260 |
| March 2026 | 85% | 322 |
| April 2026 | 85% | 259 |
| May 2026 | 84% | 230 |
Keep nerding
Based on 3,141 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.