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Route Reliability

Phoenix → Minneapolis

PHX–MSP · 1,276 miles · Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

87
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
84%
Arrive within 15 minutes
3 min
Average arrival delay
0.9%
Cancelled
3,142
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines87%2,101 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines80%657 flights
  3. 3.Southwest Airlines74%310 flights

Not enough history to rank: Frontier Airlines (74 flights). We rank airlines only after 100 flights on the route.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

PHX–MSP flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 75% between 6–9 PM.

Tuesday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 87% on time on Tuesdays against 81% on Sundays.

Delta Air Lines runs this route best.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 87% of the time on this route; Southwest Airlines managed 74%.

Ticking up lately.

PHX–MSP flights arrived on time 86% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 80% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon83%(448 flights)
  • Tue87%(424 flights)
  • Wed86%(428 flights)
  • Thu85%(445 flights)
  • Fri84%(450 flights)
  • Sat82%(460 flights)
  • Sun81%(451 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM86%(179 flights)
  • 3–6 AM—(3 flights)
  • 6–9 AM92%(638 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM90%(828 flights)
  • 12–3 PM78%(410 flights)
  • 3–6 PM79%(463 flights)
  • 6–9 PM75%(549 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM89%(36 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 89% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202589%267
July 202581%268
August 202584%251
September 202587%225
October 202587%270
November 202584%244
December 202579%267
January 202679%241
February 202681%262
March 202684%321
April 202689%259
May 202684%231

Keep nerding

Based on 3,142 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.