Route Reliability
Minneapolis → San Francisco
MSP–SFO · 1,589 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to San Francisco International Airport
- 75%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 7 min
- Average arrival delay
- 0.7%
- Cancelled
- 1,917
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.Delta Air Lines75%1,445 flights
- 2.United Airlines74%472 flights
What the data says
The 3–6 PM departure wins.
MSP–SFO flights departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 79% of the time, versus 70% between 9 PM–12 AM.
Sunday scaries are real for this one.
MSP–SFO flights arrived on time 82% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 67%.
Not much between Delta Air Lines and United Airlines.
On this route they all land within 74% to 75% on time. Pick on schedule and price.
Slipping a little lately.
MSP–SFO flights arrived on time 65% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 70% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon73%(284 flights)
- Tue82%(253 flights)
- Wed76%(273 flights)
- Thu76%(288 flights)
- Fri72%(292 flights)
- Sat80%(231 flights)
- Sun67%(279 flights)
- 6–9 AM76%(308 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM74%(550 flights)
- 12–3 PM—(1 flights)
- 3–6 PM79%(513 flights)
- 6–9 PM71%(323 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM70%(205 flights)
Jun 81% → May 44% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 81% | 180 |
| July 2025 | 76% | 193 |
| August 2025 | 82% | 181 |
| September 2025 | 89% | 157 |
| October 2025 | 79% | 170 |
| November 2025 | 82% | 147 |
| December 2025 | 60% | 134 |
| January 2026 | 77% | 141 |
| February 2026 | 74% | 129 |
| March 2026 | 85% | 137 |
| April 2026 | 67% | 166 |
| May 2026 | 44% | 165 |
Same trip, other airports
Keep nerding
Based on 1,917 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.