Route Reliability
San Francisco → Minneapolis
SFO–MSP · 1,589 miles · San Francisco International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport
- 86%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 2 min early
- Average arrival delay
- 0.8%
- Cancelled
- 1,917
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.Delta Air Lines87%1,444 flights
- 2.United Airlines84%473 flights
What the data says
The 3–6 AM departure wins.
SFO–MSP flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 96% of the time, versus 76% between 9 AM–12 PM.
Skip Monday if you can.
SFO–MSP flights arrived on time 90% of the time on Saturdays. On Mondays: 82%.
Delta Air Lines has a slight edge here.
Delta Air Lines arrived on time 87% of the time on this route; United Airlines managed 84%.
Slipping a little lately.
SFO–MSP flights arrived on time 80% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 85% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon82%(290 flights)
- Tue87%(262 flights)
- Wed89%(251 flights)
- Thu88%(290 flights)
- Fri84%(273 flights)
- Sat90%(256 flights)
- Sun84%(274 flights)
- 12–3 AM93%(273 flights)
- 3–6 AM96%(90 flights)
- 6–9 AM93%(466 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM76%(170 flights)
- 12–3 PM80%(350 flights)
- 3–6 PM83%(451 flights)
- 6–9 PM86%(79 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM82%(17 flights)
Jun 91% → May 75% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 91% | 181 |
| July 2025 | 90% | 188 |
| August 2025 | 88% | 179 |
| September 2025 | 85% | 157 |
| October 2025 | 95% | 170 |
| November 2025 | 87% | 147 |
| December 2025 | 79% | 136 |
| January 2026 | 88% | 142 |
| February 2026 | 89% | 127 |
| March 2026 | 83% | 138 |
| April 2026 | 83% | 166 |
| May 2026 | 75% | 165 |
Same trip, other airports
Keep nerding
Based on 1,917 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.