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Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Sacramento

MSP–SMF · 1,517 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Sacramento International Airport

90
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
84%
Arrive within 15 minutes
3 min
Average arrival delay
0.5%
Cancelled
590
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 84% of the time across 590 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

MSP–SMF flights departing between 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 78% between 6–9 PM.

Skip Thursday if you can.

MSP–SMF flights arrived on time 88% of the time on Mondays. On Thursdays: 78%.

Trending in the right direction.

MSP–SMF flights arrived on time 81% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 68% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon88%(85 flights)
  • Tue84%(85 flights)
  • Wed86%(83 flights)
  • Thu78%(85 flights)
  • Fri84%(82 flights)
  • Sat81%(79 flights)
  • Sun84%(88 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM92%(225 flights)
  • 12–3 PM—(2 flights)
  • 6–9 PM78%(360 flights)
On-time trend by month
91%
May

Jun 88% → May 91% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202588%60
July 202587%60
August 202587%60
September 202595%55
October 202591%58
November 202591%57
December 202560%58
January 202657%35
February 202686%28
March 202670%30
April 202683%30
May 202691%56

Keep nerding

Based on 590 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.