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Route Reliability

Sacramento → Minneapolis

SMF–MSP · 1,517 miles · Sacramento International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

98
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
93%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min early
Average arrival delay
0.7%
Cancelled
590
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 93% of the time across 590 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Departure time hasn't mattered much.

On-time rates stay between 92% and 93% across the day.

Skip Saturday if you can.

SMF–MSP flights arrived on time 98% of the time on Wednesdays. On Saturdays: 87%.

Trending in the right direction.

SMF–MSP flights arrived on time 93% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 84% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon93%(84 flights)
  • Tue95%(85 flights)
  • Wed98%(85 flights)
  • Thu96%(83 flights)
  • Fri89%(83 flights)
  • Sat87%(79 flights)
  • Sun89%(87 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM92%(360 flights)
  • 12–3 PM93%(224 flights)
  • 3–6 PM—(2 flights)
On-time trend by month
96%
May

Jun 95% → May 96% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202595%60
July 202592%60
August 202598%60
September 202596%55
October 202598%58
November 202593%57
December 202581%59
January 202674%34
February 202696%27
March 202690%30
April 202693%30
May 202696%56

Keep nerding

Based on 590 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.