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Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Tampa

MSP–TPA · 1,306 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Tampa International Airport

83
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
80%
Arrive within 15 minutes
4 min
Average arrival delay
1.0%
Cancelled
1,183
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 80% of the time across 1,183 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

The 3–6 PM departure wins.

MSP–TPA flights departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 95% of the time, versus 71% between 6–9 PM.

Saturday is the weak spot.

MSP–TPA flights arrived on time 86% of the time on Tuesdays. On Saturdays: 74%.

Ticking up lately.

MSP–TPA flights arrived on time 84% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon78%(176 flights)
  • Tue86%(162 flights)
  • Wed81%(165 flights)
  • Thu86%(172 flights)
  • Fri81%(175 flights)
  • Sat74%(144 flights)
  • Sun76%(174 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM88%(336 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM76%(190 flights)
  • 12–3 PM84%(289 flights)
  • 3–6 PM95%(19 flights)
  • 6–9 PM71%(334 flights)
On-time trend by month
80%
May

Jun 74% → May 80% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202574%112
July 202571%114
August 202579%91
September 202588%72
October 202585%80
November 202587%79
December 202568%95
January 202678%94
February 202687%83
March 202680%111
April 202692%120
May 202680%117

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 1,183 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.