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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Tampa → Minneapolis

TPAMSP · 1,306 miles · Tampa International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

87
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
5 min
Average arrival delay
0.9%
Cancelled
1,183
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 83% of the time across 1,183 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

TPA–MSP flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 91% of the time, versus 72% between 3–6 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

TPA–MSP flights arrived on time 89% of the time on Wednesdays and just 73% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Ticking up lately.

TPA–MSP flights arrived on time 85% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 80% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon81%(177 flights)
  • Tue86%(162 flights)
  • Wed89%(165 flights)
  • Thu84%(173 flights)
  • Fri87%(175 flights)
  • Sat81%(145 flights)
  • Sun73%(174 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM91%(361 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM82%(82 flights)
  • 12–3 PM83%(313 flights)
  • 3–6 PM72%(133 flights)
  • 6–9 PM77%(282 flights)
On-time trend by month
83%
May

Jun 75% → May 83% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202575%113
July 202580%114
August 202579%91
September 202589%72
October 202591%80
November 202590%80
December 202575%95
January 202689%94
February 202675%84
March 202681%112
April 202691%120
May 202683%116

Based on 1,183 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.