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Route Reliability

Chicago → Madison

ORD–MSN · 108 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Dane County Regional Airport

62
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
71%
Arrive within 15 minutes
18 min
Average arrival delay
3.4%
Cancelled
4,684
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines72%2,712 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines70%1,972 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

ORD–MSN flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 81% of the time, versus 63% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Saturday comes out ahead.

A small edge: 75% on time on Saturdays against 69% on Mondays.

Not much between United Airlines and American Airlines.

On this route they all land within 70% to 72% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 3.4% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon69%(671 flights)
  • Tue74%(640 flights)
  • Wed72%(643 flights)
  • Thu69%(664 flights)
  • Fri71%(648 flights)
  • Sat75%(593 flights)
  • Sun71%(667 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM—(2 flights)
  • 6–9 AM81%(538 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM74%(753 flights)
  • 12–3 PM78%(1007 flights)
  • 3–6 PM66%(790 flights)
  • 6–9 PM67%(874 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM63%(562 flights)
On-time trend by month
78%
May

Jun 72% → May 78% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202572%337
July 202570%328
August 202579%363
September 202578%375
October 202574%411
November 202571%359
December 202557%359
January 202660%362
February 202673%330
March 202670%350
April 202673%471
May 202678%481

Keep nerding

Based on 4,684 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.