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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Chicago → Minneapolis

MDWMSP · 349 miles · Chicago Midway International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
78%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
2,670
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines79%1,617 flights
  2. 2.Delta Air Lines78%1,053 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

MDW–MSP flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 90% of the time, versus 58% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Skip Monday if you can.

MDW–MSP flights arrived on time 83% of the time on Saturdays. On Mondays: 73%.

Not much between Southwest Airlines and Delta Air Lines.

On this route they all land within 78% to 79% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Ticking up lately.

MDW–MSP flights arrived on time 78% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 75% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon73%(397 flights)
  • Tue83%(375 flights)
  • Wed81%(378 flights)
  • Thu77%(394 flights)
  • Fri79%(391 flights)
  • Sat83%(319 flights)
  • Sun75%(377 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM90%(351 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM81%(603 flights)
  • 12–3 PM80%(571 flights)
  • 3–6 PM74%(371 flights)
  • 6–9 PM76%(566 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM58%(169 flights)
On-time trend by month
82%
May

Jun 78% → May 82% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202578%242
July 202570%248
August 202574%236
September 202582%232
October 202589%245
November 202587%200
December 202563%212
January 202674%186
February 202688%179
March 202670%212
April 202683%216
May 202682%223

Based on 2,670 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.