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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Chicago

MSPMDW · 349 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
80%
Arrive within 15 minutes
6 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
2,673
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines81%1,620 flights
  2. 2.Delta Air Lines78%1,053 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

MSP–MDW flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 71% between 3–6 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

MSP–MDW flights arrived on time 84% of the time on Saturdays. On Sundays: 76%.

Southwest Airlines has a slight edge here.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 81% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 78%.

Ticking up lately.

MSP–MDW flights arrived on time 79% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 73% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon78%(396 flights)
  • Tue82%(378 flights)
  • Wed80%(377 flights)
  • Thu82%(393 flights)
  • Fri77%(391 flights)
  • Sat84%(319 flights)
  • Sun76%(375 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM92%(202 flights)
  • 6–9 AM86%(583 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM82%(714 flights)
  • 12–3 PM77%(248 flights)
  • 3–6 PM71%(704 flights)
  • 6–9 PM75%(178 flights)
On-time trend by month
81%
May

Jun 84% → May 81% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202584%243
July 202578%243
August 202577%236
September 202584%231
October 202590%246
November 202587%197
December 202564%213
January 202670%184
February 202684%180
March 202672%216
April 202684%216
May 202681%224

Based on 2,673 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.