Route Reliability
Minneapolis → Chicago
MSP–ORD · 334 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport
- 71%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 17 min
- Average arrival delay
- 2.3%
- Cancelled
- 6,353
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.American Airlines74%1,868 flights
- 2.United Airlines71%2,522 flights
- 3.Delta Air Lines68%1,950 flights
Not enough history to rank: Frontier Airlines (13 flights). We rank airlines only after 100 flights on the route.
What the data says
Morning flights do better here.
MSP–ORD flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 91% of the time, versus 47% between 9 PM–12 AM.
Friday is doing you no favors.
MSP–ORD flights arrived on time 76% of the time on Tuesdays. On Fridays: 67%.
American Airlines has a slight edge here.
American Airlines arrived on time 74% of the time on this route; Delta Air Lines managed 68%.
Trending in the right direction.
MSP–ORD flights arrived on time 76% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 64% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon71%(913 flights)
- Tue76%(868 flights)
- Wed73%(876 flights)
- Thu71%(927 flights)
- Fri67%(914 flights)
- Sat72%(764 flights)
- Sun68%(934 flights)
- 3–6 AM91%(266 flights)
- 6–9 AM82%(1572 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM78%(1419 flights)
- 12–3 PM69%(614 flights)
- 3–6 PM55%(1286 flights)
- 6–9 PM60%(1024 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM47%(15 flights)
Jun 73% → May 81% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 73% | 537 |
| July 2025 | 64% | 534 |
| August 2025 | 70% | 531 |
| September 2025 | 74% | 535 |
| October 2025 | 74% | 572 |
| November 2025 | 73% | 484 |
| December 2025 | 52% | 485 |
| January 2026 | 62% | 439 |
| February 2026 | 79% | 441 |
| March 2026 | 70% | 492 |
| April 2026 | 76% | 576 |
| May 2026 | 81% | 570 |
Same trip, other airports
Keep nerding
Based on 6,353 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.