Route Reliability
Chicago → Minneapolis
ORD–MSP · 334 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport
- 70%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 19 min
- Average arrival delay
- 2.1%
- Cancelled
- 6,352
- Flights in the data
Data through May 2026.
Who flies it best
Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.
- 1.American Airlines71%1,867 flights
- 2.United Airlines70%2,523 flights
- 3.Delta Air Lines69%1,949 flights
Not enough history to rank: Frontier Airlines (13 flights). We rank airlines only after 100 flights on the route.
What the data says
Morning flights do better here.
ORD–MSP flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 60% between 6–9 PM.
Tuesday comes out ahead.
A small edge: 73% on time on Tuesdays against 68% on Fridays.
Not much between American Airlines and Delta Air Lines.
On this route they all land within 69% to 71% on time. Pick on schedule and price.
Trending in the right direction.
ORD–MSP flights arrived on time 72% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 63% in the three months before that.
Best historical flights
Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.
Top flights by on-time rate
More flights on this route
The breakdown
- Mon69%(925 flights)
- Tue73%(868 flights)
- Wed70%(873 flights)
- Thu69%(927 flights)
- Fri68%(915 flights)
- Sat73%(766 flights)
- Sun69%(938 flights)
- 6–9 AM83%(1583 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM76%(672 flights)
- 12–3 PM72%(968 flights)
- 3–6 PM63%(1495 flights)
- 6–9 PM60%(1056 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM61%(438 flights)
Jun 71% → May 79% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 71% | 538 |
| July 2025 | 67% | 530 |
| August 2025 | 70% | 536 |
| September 2025 | 72% | 534 |
| October 2025 | 78% | 573 |
| November 2025 | 74% | 484 |
| December 2025 | 51% | 487 |
| January 2026 | 67% | 445 |
| February 2026 | 72% | 441 |
| March 2026 | 64% | 494 |
| April 2026 | 74% | 583 |
| May 2026 | 79% | 567 |
Same trip, other airports
Keep nerding
Based on 6,352 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.